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The Impact of Population Aging on the Household Saving Rate: The Case of Japan
https://agi.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/2000258
https://agi.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/2000258938bb3cd-823b-437a-a15a-edd70f84605c
| 名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
|---|---|---|
WP2026-01.pdf (357 KB)
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| Item type | ワーキングペーパー/Working Paper(1) | |||||||||||
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| 公開日 | 2026-01-13 | |||||||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||||||
| タイトル | The Impact of Population Aging on the Household Saving Rate: The Case of Japan | |||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 言語 | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | eng | |||||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||||
| 主題 | age structure of the population | |||||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||||
| 主題 | cointegration | |||||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||||
| 主題 | cointegrating vector | |||||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||||
| 主題 | household saving | |||||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||||
| 主題 | Japan | |||||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||||
| 主題 | life-cycle hypothesis | |||||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||||
| 主題 | life-cycle model | |||||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||||
| 主題 | population aging | |||||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||||
| 主題 | saving rate | |||||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||||
| 主題 | unit roots | |||||||||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||||||||
| 資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042 | |||||||||||
| 資源タイプ | working paper | |||||||||||
| 著者 |
ホリオカ, チャールズ・ユウジ
× ホリオカ, チャールズ・ユウジ
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| 抄録 | ||||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||||||
| 内容記述 | This paper analyzes the impact of the age structure of the population on the household saving rate using time-series data for Japan for the 1955-2019 period. It finds that there is a cointegrating relationship between Japan’s household saving rate and her dependency ratio (the ratio of the dependent population to the working-age population) and that the latter has a negative and statistically significant impact on the former. This implies that the life-cycle model applies in the case of Japan, that trends over time in the age structure of Japan’s population can largely explain trends over time in Japan’s household saving rate, that the downward trend in Japan’s household saving rate since the mid-1970s can largely be explained by the aging of her population, and that further population aging will lead to further declines in Japan’s household saving rate, most likely into negative territory, in future years. | |||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| bibliographic_information |
en : AGI Working Paper Series 巻 2026-01, p. 1-27, 発行日 2026-01 |
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| 出版タイプ | ||||||||||||
| 出版タイプ | NA | |||||||||||
| 出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_be7fb7dd8ff6fe43 | |||||||||||
| JEL分類コード | ||||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||||
| 主題 | JEL classification: D12 (Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis), D14 (Household Saving; Personal Finance), D15 (Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving), E21 (Consumption; Saving; Wealth), J11 (Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts) | |||||||||||
